Varvara Lepchenko vs Marina Stakusic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Varvara Lepchenko has a stronger recent second serve performance, winning 43.26% of points, compared to Marina Stakusic’s 36.11%. Could this give Lepchenko an edge?
• In returning second serves, Marina Stakusic performs better, capturing 53.33% of points versus Lepchenko’s 47.51%.
• When facing first serves, Lepchenko leads slightly with a return success of 31.33%, while Stakusic trails at 29.22%.
• Under pressure, Lepchenko saves 50.15% of breakpoints, showing more composure than Stakusic’s 45.36%.
• Looking at overall performance, Stakusic edges Lepchenko with a 57.45% match win rate over the past year, compared to Lepchenko’s 51.95%.
• Both players have a career-best win percentage on different surfaces: Lepchenko on Clay (58%) and Stakusic on Indoor Hard (58%).
• On the Challenger/ITF circuit, Stakusic has a higher win rate of 69.23%, contrasting Lepchenko’s 57.69%. Will this experience play a role?
• Their direct head-to-head history shows Lepchenko leading 1-0, a possible psychological advantage.
• In tightly contested matches, both players have identical deciding set win rates of 54% in the last year.
• Lepchenko has faced slightly lower-ranked opponents (average rank 221.01) than Stakusic (209.72), suggesting Stakusic has fought tougher competition.

Editorial Prediction (November 7, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Varvara Lepchenko and Marina Stakusic brings intriguing dynamics, particularly around second serve and return game performance. Lepchenko's superior second serve success and ability to save breakpoints could provide her with a foundational advantage.

However, Stakusic is notably stronger in returning second serves and demonstrates overall higher win rates, both this season and in the context of Challenger/ITF matches. Her experience against tougher opponents might also prove crucial.

While Lepchenko leads their head-to-head encounters slightly, Stakusic's edge in recent match performance and tougher competitive experience make this a close matchup. Given these factors, Marina Stakusic appears to be the slight favorite to win this match.